Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.9% vs 48.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Roy 48.9% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Roy 71.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 64.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.3%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Lazar
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
49.5% (746)
+1.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
50.7% (75)
-50.7%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
42.7% (110)
-4.9%
On power play, Roy has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lazar is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Lazar shoots right. Roy is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Lazar
Roy
Home
43.5% (131)
47.7% (491)
Away
53.7% (147)
50.0% (440)
By Period
Lazar
Roy
P1
53.8%
51.1%
P2
50.5%
44.6%
P3
41.2%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%