Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.4%). Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Roy 48.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 65.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 65.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 62.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Lazar
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Lazar
Roy
Last 10: Lazar 3-7 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
3
Lazar
Roy
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
5
Lazar
Roy
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lazar
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
48.7% (3,719)
+1.5%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
49.5% (283)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
45.5% (477)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Roy is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,191).
Home / Away
Lazar
Roy
Home
50.1% (1,542)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Lazar
Roy
P1
48.9%
50.8%
P2
48.9%
46.3%
P3
49.5%
48.1%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Feb 28, 2020 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |