Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Roy 47.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 52.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 70.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 54.6%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Lazar
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lazar
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Lazar
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
47.5% (617)
+1.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
39.6% (53)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
46.4% (97)
+3.6%
On power play, Lazar has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Roy is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Lazar
Roy
Home
49.2% (189)
47.2% (398)
Away
48.3% (176)
46.3% (369)
By Period
Lazar
Roy
P1
50.8%
48.6%
P2
45.2%
48.8%
P3
50.0%
43.9%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |