Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Roy 51.9% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 57.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 55.5%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Lazar
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lazar
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
1
Lazar
Roy
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Roy
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
51.9% (547)
+11.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
54.1% (37)
-54.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
53.3% (92)
+3.0%
On power play, Roy has a +54.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lazar is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Lazar shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Lazar
Roy
Home
63.3% (128)
54.0% (328)
Away
59.3% (118)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Lazar
Roy
P1
64.6%
53.5%
P2
60.5%
51.6%
P3
59.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
68.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |