Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Roy 48.3% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Lazar 50.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 51.4%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.9%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Lazar
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
48.3% (633)
+4.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
52.1% (48)
+47.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
43.7% (87)
-10.4%
On power play, Lazar has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lazar is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Lazar shoots right. Roy is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Lazar
Roy
Home
57.1% (119)
50.8% (376)
Away
47.1% (153)
45.4% (392)
By Period
Lazar
Roy
P1
53.1%
53.8%
P2
52.2%
43.5%
P3
48.8%
46.4%
Final 5 min
42.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.0%