Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Hertl 52.3% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 75.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 70.8%
Neutral zone
Hertl 51.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Lazar
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (232)
51.6% (1,084)
-0.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.0% (246)
-61.0%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (45)
44.1% (136)
-6.3%
On power play, Hertl has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lazar is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (220).
Lazar shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hertl
Home
43.5% (131)
55.2% (696)
Away
53.7% (147)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Lazar
Hertl
P1
53.8%
55.4%
P2
50.5%
54.8%
P3
41.2%
48.9%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%