Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 63.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 53.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 54.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Lazar
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
57.0% (718)
-8.3%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
64.9% (188)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
44.2% (77)
+5.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hertl
Home
49.2% (189)
59.2% (463)
Away
48.3% (176)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Lazar
Hertl
P1
50.8%
56.3%
P2
45.2%
55.4%
P3
50.0%
60.5%
Final 5 min
43.9%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
48.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%