Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 53.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 76.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 58.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Lazar
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lazar
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
49.1% (847)
+3.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
79.5% (44)
+20.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
39.5% (81)
-6.2%
On power play, Lazar has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Lazar shoots right. Gourde is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Lazar
Gourde
Home
57.1% (119)
50.1% (491)
Away
47.1% (153)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Lazar
Gourde
P1
53.1%
54.7%
P2
52.2%
45.0%
P3
48.8%
49.4%
Final 5 min
42.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |