Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Gourde 49.7% (+1.7%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 52.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 58.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.4%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Lazar
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
51.2% (469)
+0.2%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
42.9% (21)
+19.6%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
37.5% (48)
+9.7%
On power play, Lazar has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Gourde is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Lazar
Gourde
Home
49.7% (163)
47.8% (301)
Away
52.3% (237)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Lazar
Gourde
P1
46.9%
47.3%
P2
53.3%
53.4%
P3
53.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.3%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%