Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.3%). Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.8% vs Gourde 48.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 51.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 65.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 59.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Lazar
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lazar
Gourde
Last 10: Lazar 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Lazar
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (2,623)
48.5% (4,763)
+1.3%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
57.5% (367)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (410)
39.9% (534)
+1.8%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lazar is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,244).
Lazar shoots right. Gourde is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,873).
Home / Away
Lazar
Gourde
Home
50.0% (1,541)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
47.6% (1,557)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Lazar
Gourde
P1
48.4%
50.4%
P2
48.8%
47.2%
P3
49.1%
47.2%
OT
56.5%
38.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |