Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 48.2%). Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Gourde 48.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 63.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 57.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Lazar
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Lazar
Gourde
Last 10: Lazar 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Lazar
Gourde
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
1
Lazar
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
48.4% (4,954)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
57.4% (376)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
39.9% (554)
+2.0%
On power play, Gourde has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Gourde is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,937).
Home / Away
Lazar
Gourde
Home
50.1% (1,542)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Lazar
Gourde
P1
48.9%
49.9%
P2
48.9%
47.4%
P3
49.5%
47.5%
OT
56.5%
37.0%
Final 5 min
49.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 11, 2018 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |