Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +15.9% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Gourde 46.0% (+15.9%)
Offensive zone
Gourde 53.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 66.7%
Neutral zone
Lazar 51.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Lazar
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
63.8% (174)
47.2% (654)
+16.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
45.0% (20)
-45.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
32.2% (87)
+24.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lazar is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Lazar shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Lazar
Gourde
Home
63.3% (128)
44.1% (322)
Away
59.3% (118)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Lazar
Gourde
P1
64.6%
42.4%
P2
60.5%
49.8%
P3
59.0%
44.3%
Final 5 min
68.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
61.4%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%