Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Gourde 48.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 59.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 56.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 60.8%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Lazar
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lazar
Gourde
Last 6: Lazar 4-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
48.0% (914)
+0.7%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
54.2% (48)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
43.9% (123)
+6.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Gourde is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Lazar
Gourde
Home
49.2% (189)
50.2% (512)
Away
48.3% (176)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Lazar
Gourde
P1
50.8%
50.0%
P2
45.2%
45.3%
P3
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |