Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Cozens 46.1% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 76.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 85.0%
Neutral zone
Cozens 69.9%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Mercer
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Mercer
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
45.6% (746)
-10.2%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
50.8% (65)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
34.5% (29)
-34.5%
On penalty kill, Cozens has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Mercer shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Mercer
Cozens
Home
39.9% (283)
43.9% (410)
Away
31.3% (307)
47.2% (430)
By Period
Mercer
Cozens
P1
37.7%
46.4%
P2
32.1%
41.6%
P3
37.7%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |