Dawson Mercer vs Elias Lindholm

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Elias Lindholm holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 42.2% vs Lindholm 53.8% (-15.0%)
Offensive zone Mercer 50.8%
Defensive zone Lindholm 68.2%
Neutral zone Mercer 51.6%
Result Elias Lindholm favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Mercer Lindholm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (254)
53.5% (555)
-14.5%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.1% (113)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
49.2% (61)
+6.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +32.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Mercer is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Mercer shoots right. Lindholm is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Mercer
Lindholm
Home
34.1% (126)
55.5% (431)
Away
43.8% (144)
52.7% (298)
By Period
Mercer
Lindholm
P1
31.3%
52.3%
P2
44.0%
54.8%
P3
43.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
35.4%
58.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
37.5%
39.3%
Lindholm
52.0%
52.5%
54.3%