Dawson Mercer vs Elias Lindholm
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mercer wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Lindholm 53.8% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Mercer 81.5%
Defensive zone
Mercer 77.6%
Neutral zone
Mercer 83.6%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Mercer
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Mercer
Lindholm
Last 7: Mercer 2-5 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
3
Mercer
Lindholm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
4
Mercer
Lindholm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Mercer
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
53.8% (8,505)
-14.7%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
59.3% (1,734)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
48.1% (1,610)
-8.1%
On power play, Lindholm has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Mercer is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Mercer shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,738).
Home / Away
Mercer
Lindholm
Home
40.0% (755)
54.1% (5,943)
Away
38.5% (792)
53.6% (5,906)
By Period
Mercer
Lindholm
P1
38.2%
54.1%
P2
39.2%
54.5%
P3
41.1%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
39.6%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |