Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Lindholm 55.4% (-13.3%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 55.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 68.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 52.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Mercer
Lindholm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
57.7% (1,124)
-14.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
52.9% (155)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
48.6% (259)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Lindholm is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Mercer
Lindholm
Home
39.0% (82)
55.7% (760)
Away
45.8% (83)
55.8% (778)
By Period
Mercer
Lindholm
P1
45.5%
53.7%
P2
44.0%
58.3%
P3
36.7%
55.1%
Final 5 min
36.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.7%