Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mercer wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Lindholm 52.7% (-17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 58.4%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 58.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 59.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Mercer
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Mercer
Lindholm
Last 5: Mercer 2-3 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Lindholm
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
2
Mercer
Lindholm
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
52.4% (1,156)
-17.0%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
59.6% (198)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
49.6% (238)
-49.6%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +49.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Mercer shoots right. Lindholm is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Mercer
Lindholm
Home
39.9% (283)
52.3% (771)
Away
31.3% (307)
53.5% (821)
By Period
Mercer
Lindholm
P1
37.7%
50.7%
P2
32.1%
55.3%
P3
37.7%
54.0%
OT
0.0%
29.6%
Final 5 min
33.3%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |