Dawson Mercer vs Elias Lindholm

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Elias Lindholm holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 41.8% vs Lindholm 54.8% (-16.3%)
Offensive zone Lindholm 52.4%
Defensive zone Lindholm 70.8%
Neutral zone Lindholm 50.9%
Result Elias Lindholm favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Mercer Lindholm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
54.4% (722)
-15.6%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
62.2% (164)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
49.4% (83)
+0.6%
On power play, Lindholm has a +26.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Mercer is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Mercer shoots right. Lindholm is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Mercer
Lindholm
Home
34.7% (144)
55.8% (541)
Away
43.2% (146)
54.7% (428)
By Period
Mercer
Lindholm
P1
32.7%
54.8%
P2
42.7%
55.7%
P3
42.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
39.2%
53.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
36.5%
39.0%
Lindholm
58.0%
58.5%
55.3%