Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Malkin 45.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 50.2%
Defensive zone
Mercer 50.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 56.2%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Mercer
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Mercer
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
44.0% (366)
-8.6%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
30.0% (10)
+12.9%
On power play, Mercer has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
Mercer
Malkin
Home
39.9% (283)
45.5% (202)
Away
31.3% (307)
41.4% (174)
By Period
Mercer
Malkin
P1
37.7%
48.4%
P2
32.1%
41.7%
P3
37.7%
40.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |