Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Malkin 49.4% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 63.3%
Defensive zone
Mercer 66.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 57.3%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Mercer
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Mercer
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
49.0% (811)
-5.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
55.8% (43)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
50.0% (2)
-21.4%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Malkin is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Mercer
Malkin
Home
39.0% (82)
52.3% (438)
Away
45.8% (83)
46.2% (418)
By Period
Mercer
Malkin
P1
45.5%
51.3%
P2
44.0%
50.8%
P3
36.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |