Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Malkin 46.1% (-5.5%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 59.5%
Defensive zone
Mercer 55.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.7%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Mercer
Malkin
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
45.7% (219)
-6.9%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
34.6% (26)
+0.7%
On even strength, Malkin has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Mercer
Malkin
Home
34.7% (144)
50.4% (113)
Away
43.2% (146)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Mercer
Malkin
P1
32.7%
47.7%
P2
42.7%
44.9%
P3
42.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%