Scouting Report
Frank Vatrano holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Vatrano shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Vatrano 49.6% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 53.1%
Defensive zone
Mercer 60.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 61.7%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Mercer
Vatrano
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Vatrano
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vatrano
0
1
Mercer
Vatrano
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Vatrano
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
48.0% (25)
-12.6%
On even strength, Vatrano has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vatrano shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Vatrano is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Mercer
Vatrano
Home
39.9% (283)
50.0% (14)
Away
31.3% (307)
45.5% (11)
By Period
Mercer
Vatrano
P1
37.7%
66.7%
P2
32.1%
50.0%
P3
37.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Vatrano
44.0%▲
37.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2021 | 2 | 18:15 | Neutral | Frank Vatrano |