Dawson Mercer vs Frederick Gaudreau
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Gaudreau 49.3% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 53.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 84.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 63.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Mercer
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Mercer
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Gaudreau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
48.4% (770)
-5.2%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
58.7% (46)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
50.3% (199)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Gaudreau is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gaudreau
Home
39.0% (82)
51.1% (507)
Away
45.8% (83)
47.4% (508)
By Period
Mercer
Gaudreau
P1
45.5%
49.4%
P2
44.0%
47.4%
P3
36.7%
51.2%
Final 5 min
36.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |