Dawson Mercer vs Frederick Gaudreau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Gaudreau 49.9% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 74.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 79.3%
Neutral zone
Mercer 58.4%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Mercer
Gaudreau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
49.0% (408)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
68.0% (25)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
49.1% (114)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Mercer shoots right. Gaudreau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Mercer
Gaudreau
Home
41.7% (120)
50.8% (319)
Away
47.6% (145)
48.7% (228)
By Period
Mercer
Gaudreau
P1
44.6%
53.4%
P2
45.4%
47.4%
P3
45.2%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%