Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Vesey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Vesey 42.2% (+5.9%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 67.0%
Defensive zone
Vesey 58.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 50.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Mercer
Vesey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Vesey
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
28.6% (42)
+6.8%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
0.0% (2)
+42.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
35.3% (17)
-35.3%
On power play, Mercer has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vesey shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Vesey is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Mercer
Vesey
Home
39.9% (283)
27.3% (33)
Away
31.3% (307)
32.1% (28)
By Period
Mercer
Vesey
P1
37.7%
33.3%
P2
32.1%
38.5%
P3
37.7%
11.8%
Final 5 min
33.3%
17.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Vesey
30.0%▬
30.5%
29.5%