Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Vesey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Vesey 36.7% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 52.7%
Defensive zone
Vesey 54.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.1%
Result
Jimmy Vesey favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Mercer
Vesey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Vesey
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
29.9% (157)
+9.2%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
30.8% (13)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
31.4% (35)
+8.6%
On power play, Mercer has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vesey shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Vesey is 29.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Mercer
Vesey
Home
40.0% (755)
30.1% (113)
Away
38.5% (792)
30.4% (92)
By Period
Mercer
Vesey
P1
38.2%
34.2%
P2
39.2%
32.1%
P3
41.1%
21.3%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
22.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Vesey
30.0%▬
30.5%
30.2%