Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Vesey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Vesey 46.1% (+20.5%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 52.5%
Defensive zone
Mercer 62.6%
Neutral zone
Mercer 53.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Mercer
Vesey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Vesey
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
20.0% (15)
+21.0%
On even strength, Mercer has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vesey shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Vesey is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Mercer
Vesey
Home
45.2% (126)
18.2% (11)
Away
35.1% (111)
25.0% (4)
By Period
Mercer
Vesey
P1
34.5%
14.3%
P2
43.4%
16.7%
P3
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Vesey
30.0%▬
30.5%
20.0%