Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +20.2% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Vesey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Vesey 45.8% (+20.2%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.0%
Defensive zone
Mercer 59.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.2%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Mercer
Vesey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Vesey
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
21.4% (14)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
25.0% (4)
+3.6%
On even strength, Mercer has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vesey shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Vesey is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Home / Away
Mercer
Vesey
Home
39.0% (82)
30.0% (10)
Away
45.8% (83)
12.5% (8)
By Period
Mercer
Vesey
P1
45.5%
40.0%
P2
44.0%
20.0%
P3
36.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Vesey
30.0%▬
30.5%
22.2%