Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Vesey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Vesey 48.0% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 60.8%
Defensive zone
Mercer 57.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.2%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Mercer
Vesey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Vesey
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
38.1% (21)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
50.0% (2)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vesey shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Vesey is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (12).
Home / Away
Mercer
Vesey
Home
41.7% (120)
41.2% (17)
Away
47.6% (145)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Mercer
Vesey
P1
44.6%
25.0%
P2
45.4%
50.0%
P3
45.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Vesey
30.0%▬
30.5%
39.1%