Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Armia shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Armia 45.3% (+17.8%)
Offensive zone
Armia 52.1%
Defensive zone
Mercer 52.3%
Neutral zone
Mercer 58.7%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Mercer
Armia
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Armia
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
18.8% (16)
+16.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Mercer has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Armia shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Mercer shoots right. Armia is 16.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Mercer
Armia
Home
39.9% (283)
25.0% (12)
Away
31.3% (307)
0.0% (5)
By Period
Mercer
Armia
P1
37.7%
0.0%
P2
32.1%
30.0%
P3
37.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Armia
40.0%▲
30.0%
17.6%