Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Armia shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Armia 46.5% (+19.1%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.5%
Defensive zone
Mercer 55.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.6%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Mercer
Armia
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Armia
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
25.0% (12)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
0.0% (2)
+36.4%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +36.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Armia shoots right. Mercer is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Mercer shoots right. Armia is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Mercer
Armia
Home
45.2% (126)
20.0% (5)
Away
35.1% (111)
22.2% (9)
By Period
Mercer
Armia
P1
34.5%
33.3%
P2
43.4%
25.0%
P3
45.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Armia
40.0%▲
30.0%
21.4%