Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Armia shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Armia 47.4% (+13.6%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 60.8%
Defensive zone
Mercer 56.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.9%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Mercer
Armia
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Armia
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
50.0% (10)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
0.0% (6)
+70.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +70.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Armia shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Mercer shoots right. Armia is 25.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Home / Away
Mercer
Armia
Home
41.7% (120)
42.9% (7)
Away
47.6% (145)
22.2% (9)
By Period
Mercer
Armia
P1
44.6%
50.0%
P2
45.4%
14.3%
P3
45.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Armia
40.0%▲
30.0%
31.3%