Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Armia shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Armia 48.6% (+9.1%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 59.5%
Defensive zone
Mercer 62.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.5%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Mercer
Armia
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Armia
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
33.3% (6)
+9.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
50.0% (2)
-21.4%
On power play, Mercer has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Armia shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Armia is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (1).
Home / Away
Mercer
Armia
Home
39.0% (82)
33.3% (3)
Away
45.8% (83)
33.3% (6)
By Period
Mercer
Armia
P1
45.5%
33.3%
P2
44.0%
33.3%
P3
36.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
36.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Armia
40.0%▲
30.0%
33.3%