Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Frost 48.7% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 57.3%
Defensive zone
Frost 51.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 59.2%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Mercer
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Mercer
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
47.4% (426)
-12.0%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
63.9% (36)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
20.0% (5)
-20.0%
On power play, Frost has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Frost is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Mercer
Frost
Home
39.9% (283)
51.1% (221)
Away
31.3% (307)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Mercer
Frost
P1
37.7%
47.5%
P2
32.1%
52.3%
P3
37.7%
44.7%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |