Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Frost 46.2% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 51.6%
Defensive zone
Frost 51.0%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Mercer
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
45.6% (833)
-2.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
46.0% (100)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
55.6% (18)
-27.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Frost is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Mercer
Frost
Home
39.0% (82)
47.0% (440)
Away
45.8% (83)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Mercer
Frost
P1
45.5%
42.5%
P2
44.0%
47.9%
P3
36.7%
46.6%
Final 5 min
36.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%