Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Frost 55.7% (-17.3%)
Offensive zone
Frost 78.5%
Defensive zone
Frost 57.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 55.2%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Mercer
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
54.9% (701)
-16.1%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
60.8% (166)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
100.0% (5)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Mercer
Frost
Home
34.7% (144)
56.0% (443)
Away
43.2% (146)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Mercer
Frost
P1
32.7%
58.9%
P2
42.7%
55.3%
P3
42.2%
54.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%