Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +35.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Cates 46.7% (+35.4%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 57.5%
Defensive zone
Cates 50.8%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.4%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Mercer
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
0.0% (6)
+35.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Mercer has a +35.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Cates is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Home / Away
Mercer
Cates
Home
39.9% (283)
0.0% (5)
Away
31.3% (307)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Mercer
Cates
P1
37.7%
0.0%
P2
32.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
0.0%