Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +24.3% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — Palat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Palat 44.1% (+24.3%)
Offensive zone
Palat 51.8%
Defensive zone
Mercer 57.0%
Neutral zone
Mercer 57.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Mercer
Palat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Palat
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
11.1% (18)
+24.3%
On even strength, Mercer has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Palat shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. Palat is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Mercer
Palat
Home
39.9% (283)
0.0% (4)
Away
31.3% (307)
14.3% (14)
By Period
Mercer
Palat
P1
37.7%
11.1%
P2
32.1%
20.0%
P3
37.7%
0.0%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Palat
28.0%▲
22.5%
11.1%