Scouting Report
Ondrej Palat holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Palat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.8% vs Palat 49.1% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 57.6%
Defensive zone
Palat 54.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Mercer
Palat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Palat
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
50.0% (12)
-11.2%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
0.0% (1)
+35.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Palat shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Palat is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Mercer
Palat
Home
34.7% (144)
25.0% (8)
Away
43.2% (146)
66.7% (6)
By Period
Mercer
Palat
P1
32.7%
0.0%
P2
42.7%
80.0%
P3
42.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Palat
28.0%▲
22.5%
42.9%