Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +42.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Palat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Palat 45.9% (+42.4%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 60.6%
Defensive zone
Mercer 60.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.9%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Mercer
Palat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Palat
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
0.0% (8)
+43.2%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
On even strength, Mercer has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Palat shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. Palat is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (4).
Home / Away
Mercer
Palat
Home
39.0% (82)
0.0% (5)
Away
45.8% (83)
0.0% (4)
By Period
Mercer
Palat
P1
45.5%
0.0%
P2
44.0%
0.0%
P3
36.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
36.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Palat
28.0%▲
22.5%
0.0%