Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +21.4% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Palat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Palat 46.2% (+21.4%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.2%
Defensive zone
Mercer 61.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Mercer
Palat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Palat
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
25.0% (16)
+18.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On power play, Mercer has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Palat shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. Palat is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (5).
Home / Away
Mercer
Palat
Home
41.7% (120)
25.0% (8)
Away
47.6% (145)
22.2% (9)
By Period
Mercer
Palat
P1
44.6%
37.5%
P2
45.4%
0.0%
P3
45.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Palat
28.0%▲
22.5%
23.5%