Scouting Report
Dawson Mercer holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Palat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Palat 45.0% (+20.5%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 53.8%
Defensive zone
Mercer 62.9%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.1%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Mercer
Palat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Palat
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
20.0% (20)
+21.0%
On even strength, Mercer has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Palat shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Palat is 14.3% vs right-shot opponents (7).
Home / Away
Mercer
Palat
Home
45.2% (126)
30.0% (10)
Away
35.1% (111)
10.0% (10)
By Period
Mercer
Palat
P1
34.5%
9.1%
P2
43.4%
60.0%
P3
45.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Palat
28.0%▲
22.5%
20.0%