Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs Brown 51.9% (-10.1%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 74.9%
Defensive zone
Brown 78.3%
Neutral zone
Brown 54.9%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Mercer
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
52.8% (284)
-9.6%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
75.0% (4)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
49.0% (51)
-20.4%
On power play, Brown has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Mercer is 34.9% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Mercer shoots right. Brown is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Mercer
Brown
Home
39.0% (82)
53.5% (144)
Away
45.8% (83)
51.8% (195)
By Period
Mercer
Brown
P1
45.5%
49.0%
P2
44.0%
48.7%
P3
36.7%
58.6%
Final 5 min
36.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
52.5%