Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Brown 48.6% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 63.2%
Defensive zone
Brown 61.2%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Mercer
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
43.6% (39)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
60.0% (5)
-23.6%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Mercer is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Mercer shoots right. Brown is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Mercer
Brown
Home
45.2% (126)
55.6% (9)
Away
35.1% (111)
42.9% (35)
By Period
Mercer
Brown
P1
34.5%
18.2%
P2
43.4%
58.8%
P3
45.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
40.5%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%