Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.9% vs 45.5%). Mercer wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Brown 48.9% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 68.7%
Defensive zone
Brown 71.6%
Neutral zone
Mercer 59.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Mercer
Brown
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
44.4% (27)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
50.0% (6)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Mercer shoots right. Brown is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Home / Away
Mercer
Brown
Home
41.7% (120)
37.5% (8)
Away
47.6% (145)
48.0% (25)
By Period
Mercer
Brown
P1
44.6%
54.5%
P2
45.4%
40.0%
P3
45.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
45.5%