Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs Hartman 47.3% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 59.8%
Defensive zone
Hartman 65.3%
Neutral zone
Mercer 54.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Mercer
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
47.1% (649)
-3.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
47.1% (68)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
45.2% (73)
+24.8%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Mercer is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Mercer shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Mercer
Hartman
Home
41.7% (120)
46.5% (361)
Away
47.6% (145)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Mercer
Hartman
P1
44.6%
45.1%
P2
45.4%
44.4%
P3
45.2%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%