Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 34.6% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs McLeod 47.7% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 53.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 54.1%
Neutral zone
Mercer 60.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Mercer
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Mercer
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Mercer
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
47.8% (448)
-12.4%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
48.1% (52)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
36.0% (25)
-36.0%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +36.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Mercer is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Mercer shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
Home / Away
Mercer
McLeod
Home
39.9% (283)
46.6% (253)
Away
31.3% (307)
47.8% (272)
By Period
Mercer
McLeod
P1
37.7%
43.9%
P2
32.1%
45.9%
P3
37.7%
52.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |