Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 45.3% vs McLeod 48.4% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 54.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 72.5%
Neutral zone
McLeod 65.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Mercer
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mercer
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (148)
49.0% (500)
-5.8%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
43.8% (48)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
44.0% (50)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Mercer is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (122).
Mercer shoots right. McLeod is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Mercer
McLeod
Home
39.0% (82)
50.9% (291)
Away
45.8% (83)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Mercer
McLeod
P1
45.5%
44.3%
P2
44.0%
52.4%
P3
36.7%
47.8%
Final 5 min
36.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
42.4%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |