Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 46.3% vs McLeod 50.7% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 57.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 56.5%
Neutral zone
Mercer 52.8%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Mercer
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mercer
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (241)
51.3% (628)
-7.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
68.3% (41)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
70.0% (10)
30.6% (49)
+39.4%
On penalty kill, Mercer has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Mercer is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Mercer shoots right. McLeod is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
Mercer
McLeod
Home
41.7% (120)
51.5% (394)
Away
47.6% (145)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Mercer
McLeod
P1
44.6%
51.5%
P2
45.4%
47.0%
P3
45.2%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.6%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
44.9%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |