Scouting Report
Ryan Strome holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 37.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 37.5% vs Strome 45.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 53.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 60.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 55.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Mercer
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Mercer
Strome
Last 6: Mercer 3-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
0
Mercer
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Mercer
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (548)
44.1% (749)
-8.7%
Power Play
42.9% (35)
46.2% (52)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
52.9% (17)
-52.9%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Mercer is 37.2% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Mercer shoots right. Strome is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Mercer
Strome
Home
39.9% (283)
45.1% (441)
Away
31.3% (307)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Mercer
Strome
P1
37.7%
42.9%
P2
32.1%
44.4%
P3
37.7%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
33.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
35.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 14, 2021 | OT | 02:17 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 06:30 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |